Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.138152 0.161821 0.187874 0.218617 0.253837 0.292860 0.339301
2026-01-04 0.102102 0.134836 0.174807 0.226896 0.292634 0.372461 0.476313
2026-01-11 0.081021 0.117160 0.164851 0.231701 0.322167 0.439396 0.601689
2026-01-18 0.066288 0.103473 0.155830 0.233763 0.345375 0.497739 0.719319
2026-01-25 0.055133 0.092137 0.147313 0.233870 0.364055 0.549864 0.831588
2026-02-01 0.045949 0.081811 0.138189 0.230968 0.376820 0.593443 0.934262
2026-02-08 0.038572 0.072904 0.129614 0.227177 0.386904 0.632888 1.033052
2026-02-15 0.031796 0.063723 0.119066 0.218448 0.387595 0.657199 1.109825
2026-02-22 0.029510 0.062107 0.120914 0.230305 0.422480 0.737440 1.279798
2026-03-01 0.024998 0.055503 0.112980 0.224041 0.425882 0.766635 1.369369
2026-03-08 0.021018 0.049213 0.104666 0.215880 0.424773 0.787665 1.446310
2026-03-15 0.018049 0.044463 0.098571 0.210960 0.428670 0.817066 1.538988
2026-03-22 0.016309 0.042127 0.097054 0.214893 0.449696 0.878846 1.693922
2026-03-29 0.015085 0.040758 0.097360 0.222525 0.478567 0.957139 1.884340
2026-04-05 0.013754 0.038888 0.096315 0.227196 0.501986 1.027062 2.064407
2026-04-12 0.012390 0.036670 0.094171 0.229216 0.520153 1.088301 2.232442
2026-04-19 0.011071 0.034306 0.091334 0.229321 0.534238 1.142523 2.390615
2026-04-26 0.009744 0.031650 0.087412 0.226470 0.541719 1.184206 2.527325
2026-05-03 0.008543 0.029094 0.083344 0.222746 0.546846 1.221371 2.657438
2026-05-10 0.007269 0.026042 0.077554 0.214171 0.540323 1.234160 2.739672
2026-05-17 0.007040 0.026131 0.079944 0.225819 0.580470 1.346342 3.029836
2026-05-24 0.006105 0.023778 0.075440 0.219665 0.578966 1.370567 3.140865
2026-05-31 0.005226 0.021395 0.070466 0.211648 0.572203 1.382835 3.227493